Probabilistic Judgment by a Coarser Scale: Behavioral and ERP Evidence
نویسندگان
چکیده
We hypothesize that statistically unsophisticated people perceive event likelihood with a coarser scale with a limited number of categories, before they report exact numerical probability values. Refinement of the scale beyond a certain level would therefore not improve overall judgmental accuracy and consistency but just impose a heavier burden on their limited computational capacity. An experiment of probabilistic judgment was conducted to test this hypothesis. Results from both behavioral data and event-related potentials in EEG recordings supported our hypothesis.
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تاریخ انتشار 1994